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Methodology

How we verify election information

Strata-AF™ Elections keeps one verified record for each contest. The calendar, dossiers, updates and results all read from that record, and every fact in it carries its own source and the time it was last checked.

What each label means

OfficialPublished by the legally responsible body.
VerifiedCorroborated by two independent sources.
ExpectedInferred from the constitutional timetable.
DisputedCredible sources conflict.
ClaimedAsserted by an interested party, not verified.
ProvisionalAnnounced, but not yet legally final.
FinalCertified by the legally competent body.

Verified means two independent sources. Two outlets repeating the same wire story count as one.

Source hierarchy

TierSourceExamplesUsed for
1National authorityElectoral commission, constitutional court, official gazette, parliament, presidencyAuthoritative for dates, eligibility, candidate lists and certified results
2Continental and regional bodiesAfrican Union, ECOWAS, SADC, EAC, IGAD observation missionsProcess assessments and observation findings
3Specialist datasetsEISA, IFES ElectionGuide, International IDEA, ACE Electoral Knowledge NetworkDiscovery, history and electoral-system data
4Independent reportingCredible national media, civil-society monitors, international reportingContext and dispute flags; never silently overrides tier 1
5Interested partiesCandidate posts, party statements, eyewitness materialTreated as claims until independently verified

Aggregators help us discover what is coming. Nothing is published from them automatically; an editor confirms each fact against a primary source.

How often we re-check

StageRe-verified
ExpectedEvery 30 days
Announced, campaignEvery 7 days; every 3 days in the final month
Voting, countingEvery 4–6 hours
ContestedEvery 24 hours
Certified, transitionEvery 14 days

When a dossier passes its check window, it shows a Check overdue label until an editor confirms the record again. We show this on purpose.

Two editors for anything final

Any change that makes a value official or final, names a winner, or changes a result figure needs a second editor’s approval. The database enforces this rule; no single editor can bypass it.

What we do not do

  • We do not give elections a “free and fair” score. We document indicators, such as candidate exclusions, internet disruptions and observer access, and we attribute every assessment.
  • We do not publish projections or unofficial tallies. Party and candidate totals appear only as attributed claims.
  • We do not run a minute-by-minute live blog. During voting we publish a slower, verified update stream.

Corrections

No fact is edited in place. Every change is a new, sourced entry, and the previous value stays visible in the corrections log. To report an error, email legal@strata-af.com with the page and the source.