Nigeria presidential election 2027 · Strata-AF™ Elections

The Stakes

Our explainer on why this contest matters will appear here.

How the Vote Works

How the president is chosenDirect popular vote

How the winner is decidedMost votes, plus at least 25% of votes in two-thirds of the 36 states and the FCT

If no one wins outrightRunoff if no candidate meets the 25% spread requirement (Constitution, s.134)

Voting and counting

Ledger · every entry sourced and timed

How voting works

The voting procedure for this contest is being documented from the electoral authority’s own rules. Until then, Strata-AF™ shows nothing it cannot source.

How counting works

The counting and declaration chain for this contest is being documented from the electoral authority’s own rules. Until then, Strata-AF™ shows nothing it cannot source.

Count ladder

Polling unitsNot started
WardsNot started
Local governmentsNot started
StatesNot started
NationalNot started

The ledger opens when polls open. Each entry records the time, the reporting body (electoral authority, observer mission or media), a confidence badge and a source link. Counting is shown stage by stage, with “reported of total” only where the authority publishes it. Claims by candidates or parties are labelled as claims, never as results.

Campaign trail

What was said, where, to whom, and why it matters

Showing 6 of 12 events

October 2026
1. 2 Oct 2026SpeechPeter Gregory ObiClaimed
  Peter Obi pledges to spend holidays in Nigerian states like Zamfara and Borno if elected president
  Abuja
  As reportedObi pledged that as president he would not spend holidays outside Nigeria, instead travelling to states such as Zamfara and Borno to interact with citizens, understand their challenges, and celebrate their resilience. He also promised measurable, accountable governance centred on welfare and productivity, and vowed to decisively confront insecurity.
  Why it matters. The pledge distinguishes Obi from incumbents accused of holidaying abroad and ties directly to his platform of citizen-centred leadership and tackling insecurity and poverty.
  SecurityGovernancePovertyEducationSource: Punch
2. 2 Oct 2026EventOluseyi Abiodun MakindeClaimed
  Makinde appoints six zonal coordinators for 2027 presidential campaign nationwide
  Abuja
  As reportedThe Makinde-Daura Presidential Campaign Organisation announced six zonal coordinators selected to leverage political experience and mobilise citizens for an issue-based campaign toward the January 16, 2027 polls.
  Why it matters. The appointment of zonal coordinators across all six geopolitical zones signals the formal expansion of Makinde's Allied People's Movement campaign infrastructure ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
  Campaign OrganisationElectionsSource: Nigerian Tribune
September 2026
1. 30 Sep 2026ControversyDonald DukeClaimed
  Federal High Court dismisses suit seeking to bar Donald Duke from contesting 2027 election on PRP platform
  Federal High Court, Abuja
  As reportedJustice Mohammed Umar dismissed the suit filed by PRP aspirant Yakubu Kingsley as statute-barred and also dismissed it on the merits, upholding Duke's candidacy and rejecting challenges to his party membership and screening.
  Why it matters. The court ruling clears a legal obstacle to Duke's participation in the 2027 presidential race on the PRP platform, affirming his candidacy status.
  LegalParty primariesCandidacySource: Naija News
2. 29 Sep 2026EventPeter Gregory ObiClaimed
  Peter Obi visits Ramin Kura IDP camp in Sokoto, declares no Nigerian should live in an IDP camp
  Ramin Kura IDP Camp, Sokoto State · To Displaced persons at the camp
  As reportedObi said it was unacceptable for Nigerians to live in IDP camps in a country not formally at war, pledged to deal decisively with insecurity so displaced people can return home, and noted the camp lacked hospitals and schools.
  Why it matters. Obi's direct engagement with displaced persons and his pledge to resolve insecurity underpins a key campaign pillar distinguishing him from the ruling administration.
  SecurityHumanitarianDisplacementHealthcareSource: Nigerian Tribune
3. 28 Sep 2026EventPeter Gregory ObiVerified
  Obi holds a town hall in Sokoto
  Sokoto State · To People of Sokoto State
  As reportedReported remarks: he pledged to unite the country and confront insecurity, tackle poverty, unemployment and hunger, and criticised money politics and vote-buying as a cycle that keeps communities poor.
  Why it matters. A northern stop that ties his anti-vote-buying message to the region's poverty and security concerns, and shows how he is courting voters beyond his southern base.
  SecurityPovertyElection conductSource: Naija News
4. 28 Sep 2026EventOluseyi Abiodun MakindeVerified
  Makinde and running mate take "Reset Nigeria" town halls to Katsina and Lafia
  Katsina (22 September) and Lafia, Nasarawa State (28 September) · To Farmers, traders, widows, people with disabilities and party candidates
  As reportedReported pledges: a transitional government of national unity if inaugurated on 29 May 2027 and a four-pillar reset covering security, education, the economy and socio-political reform, to be delivered in four years. Running mate Lawal Musa Daura linked insecurity and poverty in the north.
  Why it matters. Shows where his campaign is spending its time, starting with northern zones, and gives the first concrete promise of a unity government.
  SecurityEducationEconomyGovernanceSource: Nigerian Tribune